The 17:30 at Doncaster is a competitive 7f fillies’ handicap, but the race has a clear shape from both a form and statistical angle. Several unexposed three-year-olds bring improvement potential, while the market is headed by runners who still have questions to answer at the prices.

Bami remains a major player after her recent improvement. She arrives in good heart, has already shown a useful level of ability, and still has the profile of a filly who may not have reached her ceiling. Her recent win gives her one of the strongest current-form claims in the race, and she looks a very credible win candidate.

However, the most interesting betting angle may be Seeing Stars. Her Stat Attack profile is excellent: she has placed in five of her six career runs, five from six at the distance, and four from five in this class. That level of consistency is valuable in a race full of lightly raced fillies, and at around 7/1 she makes strong each-way appeal.

Gunalt Wavelength also has a solid case. She brings proven course-and-distance form and a reliable handicap profile, with strong place statistics across several categories. The concern is that the market appears to have found her, so she looks fairly priced rather than obviously overpriced.

The possible improver at a bigger price is Borjina. She lacks the same statistical depth as Seeing Stars, but she remains lightly raced and open to progression. If forgiving her latest run, she has the profile to outrun odds of around 10/1.

The favourite, South Coast Star, is respected but looks short enough at around 3/1. She has ability, but her overall profile is not quite convincing enough to make her a value bet in a field with several viable alternatives.

Overall, Bami looks the most likely winner, but Seeing Stars appeals as the best bet from a value perspective. Her consistency, distance record and class record make her a strong each-way play in a competitive Doncaster handicap.

Selection: Seeing Stars each-way
Main danger: Bami
Value alternative: Borjina
Favourite to oppose at the price: South Coast Star