The 19:44 at Bellewstown is a competitive 5f handicap for 0-60 rated sprinters, with 14 runners declared on good ground. It is not a race packed with obvious winning machines, but it is rich in exposed handicappers, recent form angles and a few potentially underestimated improvers.
At the head of the market, Happy Henry looks the most solid option. W McCreery’s gelding has found his form in recent weeks, winning at Navan before finishing a strong third behind Platino Bianco at Naas. The return of cheekpieces is a positive, and his profile is backed up by strong place statistics across race code, going and recent-days brackets. He has shown he can operate off this sort of mark and should be firmly involved again.
Stablemate Steel Magnolia is another with a major chance. She may prefer slightly easier ground, but she is consistent, well treated and brings one of the strongest statistical place profiles in the field. Her record over the trip and in similar handicaps makes her a reliable each-way candidate, especially with four places available.
The most interesting value angle is Viamonte. His latest run was poor, but his older form suggests he is very capable off this mark. First-time cheekpieces replace the usual tongue-tie, and the booking of Adam Browne-Souza, claiming 7lb, gives him a workable racing weight. HRB statistics also flag him positively for race code, going, distance, jockey and direction. At double-figure odds, he looks more dangerous than his recent form figures suggest.
Sceitimini is the main unexposed runner. He has had only five career starts and was not beaten far at Dundalk when last seen, despite a troubled passage. The booking of Colin Keane is notable, and as a three-year-old he still has scope to progress. The question is whether he can transfer that promise back to turf after an absence.
Whatswrongnow is another with place claims. He ran well when second at Fairyhouse earlier this week and has several positive place statistics, but his long-standing maiden status makes him harder to trust for win purposes.
Recent Naas winner Platino Bianco deserves respect, but she has gone up 5lb and remains inconsistent. She may need everything to fall right again.
Overall, Happy Henry is the most likely winner, but the better betting angles may lie with Steel Magnolia each-way and Viamonte as a value outsider. In a low-grade sprint where reliability is scarce, proven place profiles and current wellbeing could prove decisive.
19:44 Bellewstown Preview: Happy Henry Sets the Standard, But Viamonte Offers Value
Get updates
From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.
Subscribe
Leave a comment