Ffos Las Preview: Tuesday, July 14🏇⤵️👇

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Ffos Las stages a competitive six-race afternoon card, with several small fields but no shortage of interesting betting angles. The meeting begins with a potentially smart juvenile in the opener and closes with a tactical five-runner handicap in which the progressive three-year-olds could dominate.

2.30 – Dandara Homes EBF Maiden Stakes, 6f

The opening maiden revolves around Jaan Ki Tukri, who brings comfortably the strongest established form into the race. His Coventry Stakes effort sets a clear standard, and he should appreciate dropping into much calmer company.

The main threat may come from Sole Ambition, a newcomer with the profile to improve significantly on anything already seen from most of these. El Paso is another debutant worth monitoring, particularly if attracting market support.

Jaan Ki Tukri has the strongest current ability, but Sole Ambition is the runner most likely to emerge as a serious improver.

Selection: Jaan Ki Tukri
Danger: Sole Ambition

3.00 – Golwg Gwendraeth Nursery Handicap, 5f

This looks a good opportunity for Tallahassee Lassie, who shaped well when third at Leicester after dropping back to the minimum trip. She finished strongly that day and now makes her nursery debut from what could prove a workable mark.

Our Fella has a solid piece of form from Windsor and should be competitive if bouncing back from a disappointing latest effort. Persian Sunset is less obviously well treated but benefits from a useful 5lb claim.

The likely steady pace could favour a horse racing prominently, but Tallahassee Lassie has the strongest overall combination of form and improvement potential.

Selection: Tallahassee Lassie
Danger: Our Fella

3.30 – Diplomat Hotel Maiden Stakes, 5f

This maiden brings together two exposed but capable performers and one potentially progressive filly.

Star Velocity made a promising debut when third over 6f at Southwell, finishing her race strongly and suggesting there should be more to come. The drop to 5f is the obvious concern, but she remains the most appealing profile in the field.

Queen Sana has had ten attempts without winning, although her best form would give her a major chance. She is well suited by the trip and may gain a tactical advantage by racing prominently. Nevasca Cinza is another consistent maiden, but he too has had several opportunities and now drops to 5f.

Star Velocity has more scope than her principal rivals and is taken to progress past them.

Selection: Star Velocity
Danger: Queen Sana

4.05 – Preventapest Handicap, 7½f

The strongest form on the card may belong to Tokyo Joe, who finished a close fourth in a large-field Class 4 handicap at York last time. He now drops in grade, is drawn well and should be suited by the extra half-furlong.

There is no obvious strong pace, which should help Tokyo Joe secure a prominent position. Freddie’s Star is an interesting alternative from the inside stall, with a 5lb claim and a more encouraging latest effort behind him.

Mayberry Moon should improve from his recent course-and-distance return, while Counting Cards is the dangerous outsider if a change of stable revives him.

Tokyo Joe has the clearest current-form advantage and should be difficult to beat if reproducing his York run.

Selection: Tokyo Joe
Value alternative: Freddie’s Star

4.40 – Dandara Confined Handicap, 1m2f

This is one of the more open races on the card, with the three-year-olds Ibiza Lights and Madame Passant bringing the strongest improvement profiles.

Ibiza Lights was transformed by a first-time visor when narrowly beaten at Yarmouth over this trip. That was comfortably her best performance, and a repeat would put her right in the finish.

Madame Passant improved on her first handicap start when third at Chepstow and was keeping on strongly. She remains lightly raced and receives a valuable 5lb claim.

Homeland is the main older-horse threat. He returns to his winning distance, has Rossa Ryan booked and could be well positioned in a race lacking obvious pace. Racing Demon has solid recent form but repeatedly misses the break, which could leave him vulnerable in a tactical contest.

Ibiza Lights is narrowly preferred, but Madame Passant looks the better each-way proposition at suitable odds.

Selection: Ibiza Lights
Value bet: Madame Passant

5.14 – Dandara Handicap, 1m4f

The finale is a fascinating rematch between Grand Pier and Liveinthelight, who finished first and second over 1m2f here last month.

Liveinthelight subsequently ran another excellent race at Nottingham and brings the strongest recent form into this contest. However, she now steps up to 1m4f, and stamina is not yet guaranteed.

Grand Pier was narrowly beaten by her at Ffos Las but pulled clear of the remainder and shaped as though this longer trip could suit. He meets Liveinthelight on better terms and may have more to gain from the extra distance.

Meet Me In Meraki is the tactical danger. He stays the trip, ran well on his recent return and could control the race if allowed an easy lead.

Grand Pier is taken to reverse previous form with Liveinthelight and provide the strongest value angle in the closing race.

Selection: Grand Pier
Danger: Liveinthelight

Best Bets

Best bet: Tokyo Joe, 4.05
Next best: Tallahassee Lassie, 3.00
Best value: Madame Passant, 4.40
Most likely winner: Jaan Ki Tukri, 2.30
Best improver: Grand Pier, 5.14

The card appears likely to favour horses that can race close to the pace, with several events lacking an obvious front-runner. Tokyo Joe has the strongest handicap form, while Jaan Ki Tukri should prove difficult to oppose in the opener. The most interesting betting races are the 4.40, where the progressive three-year-olds appeal, and the finale, where Grand Pier can take another step forward over 1m4f.

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